• Dryad@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    5% of those layoffs will actually be AI related. The other 95% will be profits related.

    • Lon3star@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Exactly this… Even ones actually attributed to AI will likely be an overreach that won’t be realized until after a person’s life has been totally upended… Shit’s gonna be bleak

    • masterspace@lemmy.ca
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      2 days ago

      This is too dismissive.

      Industrialization and automation has already eliminated an entire class of work that was otherwise there.

      In a hunter gathered society or an early industrial society there was always work for everyone, in modern capitalist society, there quite frankly isn’t, and that leads to huge numbers of people just being cast aside.

      And AI may wipe out a huge number of the rest. I genuinely can’t possibly fathom how it will do anything but exacerbate every single one of society’s problems.

      • dexa_scantron@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        LLMs are not and will never be good enough to replace human labor. Augment it, sure, and that could lead to fewer jobs but that’s not generally what happens. They are, however, good enough for execs to think they can replace human labor.

        • MangoCats@feddit.it
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          12 hours ago

          A nail gun won’t replace roofers, but it does mean you need less of them.

          A mail truck doesn’t replace the postman, but compared to the walking postman - the truck enables fewer mailmen to deliver more mail.

          A C++ compiler doesn’t replace the programmer, but it does enable one programmer to do the work of 10 assembly code programmers.

          LLMs are going to be another “force multiplier” tool, in certain fields - when used correctly which not everybody will do.

          • farting_gorilla@lemmy.world
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            2 days ago

            It even can be a feature if AI isn’t as good as the people they are replacing. For example, in the case of call centers/help lines, it might be more desirable to have a shitty system to discourage callers yet have plausible deniability…

            I find I’m referencing Cory Doctorow a lot lately…

            • MangoCats@feddit.it
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              12 hours ago

              I had a funny “Down and Out in the Magic Kingdom” moment the other day… when reflecting that LLMs mean I don’t learn the details of Rust, or Python, or Perl, or VLC plugins, or systemd service configuration files, or anything like that anymore - I just learn how to work with the LLM to ensure that we are getting the results we need from the tech of the moment.

              It reminded me of the stasis - clone - transfer doctors in Down and Out, anything complicated they just reach for the “ultimate solution to everything” rather than trying to be good at all the specialty surgeries and other skills that old fashioned doctors used to study.

            • Xaphanos@lemmy.world
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              2 days ago

              I was in a meeting at a credit card company about 2 decades ago where a VP said exactly that - without the AI part.

      • Clbull@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        The industrial revolution created loads of new jobs in manufacturing, logistics, distribution, procurement and transport.

        The digital revolution created loads of IT, cybersecurity and programming jobs.

        AI removes most if not all the human labour from the equation if it functions properly. What new jobs has the AI revolution created or will create? Because last I checked, “prompt engineer” is not a job title. I can’t even find any fucking jobs for it anywhere from a LinkedIn search.

        (sigh)

        I’d prefer tech-bros pushing crypto, Web3 and NFTs to something that can actually cause mass unemployment and societal collapse.

        And AI may wipe out a huge number of the rest. I genuinely can’t possibly fathom how it will do anything but exacerbate every single one of society’s problems.

        I can see things going one of two ways:

        1. Society gets its shit together, uses AI, robotics and sweeping economic reforms to build new infrastructure and create an abundance of resources. Housing shortages, hunger, thirst and famine become a thing of the past, we move towards a post-scarcity utopia.

        2. The far more likely scenario. Mass unemployment leads to civil unrest, quelled through violence.

      • mabeledo@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        I keep seeing these comments where AI is hailed as the next industrial revolution, but I think they all miss the point.

        Industrialization created jobs. There were fewer skilled jobs lost than new skilled jobs created. It then created the need for more knowledge based jobs, like civil engineers.

        The AI lobby is doing the opposite. It targets higher paid skilled jobs. If they were to succeed, they would give birth to the opposite of the Industrial Revolution.

  • Lovable Sidekick@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    Clarification - these are management driven layoffs. AI doesn’t drive anything, managers replace people with it.

    • andallthat@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      well, not in the sense of “layoffs because AI can do those jobs”, but still AI-driven in the sense of “AI did most of the actual grunt work of laying off those people”.

      If there is a repetitive and predictable activity that can be automated at this point it’s layoffs. Announcements and internal talking points are already clearly LLM-generated.

  • CapuccinoCoretto@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    I expect 99% of CEOs to get laid off. They are too lazy, expensive and don’t want to work. They have a ridiculous sense of entitlement. Ripe for automation.

    • nucleative@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      When you say CEOs are you thinking of guys who are making millions with staff living on almost nothing?

      • III@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        Someone’s gotta see the benefit of not paying those people. They don’t do anything except take the blame for shareholder decisions.

    • Em Adespoton@lemmy.ca
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      2 days ago

      What I wonder is: how are they going to call in all the AI workers for meetings?

      And what doe RTO look like for an LLM?

  • Arrandee@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    You know, a year ago people in charge were all, like nooo we’re not going to fire people and pocket the payroll savings

    When did we cross the line where everybody stopped lying? I mean, our vaunted business leaders dropping the bullshit is welcome, even if its bad news… but the interesting bit is in the collective, unconscious decision to just own up to this as the likeliest future.

  • k0e3@lemmy.ca
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    2 days ago

    Anyone know of any publicly traded guillotine producers? I’d like to invest early.

  • MSids@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    Who are they expecting to sell stuff to if everyone is unemployed and fighting over an ever decreasing piece of the pie?

    • bridgeburner@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Companies will be just selling stuff to the wealthy. Afaik currently already the top 10% wealthy make up 50% of consumerism related revenue.

    • squaresinger@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Including Nvidia in the revenue figure is like asking “Is playing in a casino profitable” and including the revenue of the house in the stats.

    • Clbull@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      I think it’s only a matter of time.

      Waymo already exists in some parts of the US and is being trialled in Atlanta and London. Miso Robotics already can automate manual work in kitchens and have their bots rolled out in fast food chains like White Castle. Claude is miles ahead of competitors in terms of output quality, and there are probably a lot of AI slop content creators making absolute bank from YouTube, Instagram and TikTok.

      Optimus 3 will be released soon and at a predicted price of $30,000 per robot, it could potentially lead to mass layoffs in warehouses. Because remember, robots don’t get tired, don’t need food, don’t need water, don’t need to piss, don’t need to shit, won’t complain about OSHA violations, and don’t need a paycheck. All that matters is work quality and price

      According to some accounts, China are apparently even further ahead than the US in terms of AI and robotics, but they’re deliberately holding back their rollout of humanoid robots and self-driving vehicles because they know a wide rollout will lead to mass unemployment and civil unrest.

      A big part of the reason AI spend is so expensive is because there’s this huge arms race to throw gargantuan amounts of computing power in the hopes of achieving AGI that way. While I think AGI may be bullshit and unachievable, I think they’ll eventually turn a profit once they stop focusing on throwing trillions at data centres.

    • DacoTaco@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      That really shows who profits from all of this and i can only hope that company would implode

  • anon_8675309@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    That’s okay. I will choose not to participate in your new economy beyond buying essentials like food.

  • mecen@lemmy.ca
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    2 days ago

    When CEOs layouts? We can have 200 workers for their pay which will be “prompt engineers”.

  • cley_faye@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    Would you look at that. They kept pushing layoff all the time for fake reasons to increase immediate profit, and now they’ll have another fake reason to do mass layoffs for maximum immediate profit.

    What? AI? Who cares about that at this point. It’s like a pretty ribbon on a big gift box to shareholders.