NASA increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on Tuesday, but they’re now back down to 1 in 67, or 1.5%.
NASA increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on Tuesday, but they’re now back down to 1 in 67, or 1.5%.
I guess i didn’t realize the practicalities of guessing an objects mass location and momentum. I thought we knew most of the stuff in our solar system to pinpoint accuracy already. You’d think in-solar-system we’d have some kind of magic tech able to pinpoint stuff we can see in a telescope (radio, laser, idk). A telescope in mars orbit vs a telescope in solar orbit vs a telescope in earth orbit could get you position and velocity very accurately id think.